Capgemini Uncovers Top 5 Tech Trends to Watch in 2025

Sep 15, 2025

Capgemini unveiled today its “TechnoVision Top 5 Tech Trends to Watch in 2025”, focused on the technologies that are expected to reach an inflection point in the next year. The focus on AI and generative AI (Gen AI) is shared both by executives around the world as well as by the venture capital professionals that were interviewed in a global survey to be published at CES in January 2025. It is anticipated to also have a significant impact on other key technologies which are likely to reach a stage of maturity or breakthrough in 2025.

 

“Last year, Capgemini’s Top 5 Tech Trends predicted the emergence of smaller Gen AI language models and AI agents, both of which came to fruition. We also signaled the importance of Post-Quantum Cryptography, which was confirmed by the publication of the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s standards last summer. And as anticipated, semiconductors have been at the center of attention in 2024 with significant evolution driven by the massive use of AI and generative AI, as well as shifts in market dynamics,” explains Pascal Brier, Chief Innovation Officer at Capgemini and Member of the Group Executive Committee. “In 2025, we see AI and Gen AI having a major impact on companies’ priorities and also on many adjacent technology domains, such as robotics, supply chains, or tomorrow’s energy mix.” 

 

Technologies to watch in 2025

 

  1. Generative AI: From copilots to reasoning AI agents

Generative AI is now entering the dawn of a gentrification where AI systems are evolving from isolated tasks to specialized, interconnected agents. In fact, according to a Capgemini Research Institute survey of 1,500 top executives globally, which will be published in January 2025, 32% of them place AI agents as the top technology trend in data & AI for 2025.  Thanks to the increasing capabilities of logical reasoning in Gen AI models, these will start operating more autonomously while providing more reliable, evidence-based outputs, and will be able to manage tasks such as supply chains and predictive maintenance without constant human oversight. AI systems can handle dynamic decision-making in more sensitive environments where correctness is paramount. The next step will be the rise of a super agent, an orchestrator of multiple AI systems, optimizing their interactions. In 2025, these advancements will enable new AI ecosystems across industries, allowing new levels of efficiency and innovation.

 

Why it matters: With the maturation of AI models, transformer models and other Gen AI architectures have reached new levels of sophistication and accuracy, making multi-agent systems viable for real-world, complex, dynamic decision-making, even in unpredictable situations. This is set to unlock greater potential in industries that rely on quick, flexible responses to unexpected challenges, such as healthcare, law, and financial services.

 

  1. Cybersecurity: New defenses, new threats

AI is transforming cybersecurity, enabling both more sophisticated Gen AI-enhanced cyberattacks and more advanced AI-driven defenses to the point where almost all organizations surveyed (97%) in the recently published Capgemini Research Institute’s report say they have encountered breaches or security issues related to the use of Gen AI in the past year. In recent years, with remote work, companies now face a larger attack surface and greater vulnerability to these threats. In fact, 44% of top execs in the upcoming Capgemini Research Institute report place the impacts of Gen AI in cyber as the top technology topic in cybersecurity for 2025. To mitigate these risks, there have been renewed investments and innovations in endpoint and network security, increased efforts to automate threat detection, especially using AI-driven threat intelligence, as well as an effort to prepare for the future by reinforcing encryption algorithms, in particular the growing interest into Post-Quantum Cryptography to protect against the next expected disruption: quantum-computing threats. This shift marks a broader transformation in how businesses approach security and build trust in their increasingly autonomous systems. 

 

Why it matters: In 2025, generative AI-powered cyberattacks will continue to be more sophisticated and widespread, increasing risks for organizations. In parallel, as AI plays a larger role in decision-making and operational control, ensuring that humans trust these systems will become crucial. But it's not just about being safe—it's about feeling safe. Cybersecurity must address both technical and psychological concerns, ensuring not only protection but confidence in the systems people rely on daily.

 

  1. AI-driven robotics: Blurring the lines between humans and machines

Advancements in AI technology have accelerated the development of next-generation robots, building upon innovations in mechatronics and expanding beyond traditional industrial uses. While robotics used to be dominated by hard-coded, task-specific machines, the development of Gen AI is spurring the development of new products (including humanoid robots and collaborative robots - or cobots) that can adapt to diverse scenarios and learn continuously from their environment. According to the Capgemini Research Institute’s upcoming report, 24% of top executives and 43% of Venture Capitalists see AI-driven automation and robotics as one of the top 3 tech trends in data and AI in 2025. With robots becoming more autonomous and AI taking on complex decision-making roles, the future of work may see a shift in the traditional structure of authority. The rise of AI-powered machines that mimic human behaviors challenges our understanding of leadership, responsibility, and collaboration, ultimately pushing us to reconsider the role of humans.

 

Why it matters: As Industry 4.0 progresses, AI-powered robots will drive efficiency, flexibility, and innovation, becoming key components of intelligent, connected systems that redefine industrial processes. By 2025, advances in natural language processing and machine vision will further enhance their capabilities, allowing robots in manufacturing, logistics, and agriculture to take on more complex roles within the modern workforce.

 

  1. Nuclear: The surge of AI driving the clean tech agenda

The energy industry is in the midst of a transformative shift, with the energy transition accelerating at an unprecedented pace. This change is fueled by mounting pressure to fight climate change and supported by rapid innovations across various sectors, from renewables and biofuels to low carbon Hydrogen and beyond. Nuclear energy stands out as a focal point for 2025: nuclear is re-emerging at the top of the business agenda, propelled by the urgent need for clean, dependable and controllable power that can support the rising energy demands of AI and other high-energy technologies. Although in September/October 2024,   very few top execs globally identified Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) as a top 3 Sustainability technology for 2025, SMR technology development is expected to accelerate by 2025, and other key innovation priorities include strides toward limitless, clean power with nuclear fusion, or Advanced Modular Reactors that differ from light water reactors in the use of new types of fuels and a higher temperature and for some of them the promise to reduce the production of nuclear waste. 

 

Why it matters: Driven by the massive energy demands of AI, major tech players are turning to nuclear energy to meet their growing computing needs. Large-scale investments are expected to further accelerate innovation in reactor technology and waste management, as the tech industry acknowledges that renewables alone cannot sustain its energy demands.

 

  1. New generation supply chains: Agile, greener and AI-assisted 

In the last few years, businesses have had to navigate increasingly complex, unpredictable market conditions. Key technologies including AI, data, blockchain, IoT, and connectivity with Terrestrial Satellite Networks are now playing a strategic role in improving the cost efficiency, resilience, agility, circularity, and sustainability of supply chains. These technologies are allowing companies to enhance their predictive capacities and navigate an ever-changing ecosystem as they have now reached a sufficiently high level of maturity and therefore reliability. Meanwhile, progress in space techs such as low-earth orbit satellite constellations is particularly essential to increase coverage in white spots which is crucial for companies to be able to control their entire supply chains throughout the globe. In fact, according to the Capgemini Research Institute’s upcoming report, 37% of top executives see these new-generation supply chains powered by technologies as the top tech trend in industry and engineering in 2025. Additional regulatory and environmental constraints will make this shift all the more critical to ensure competitiveness, agility and resilience.

 

Why it matters: In 2025, global supply chains will keep facing environmental disruptions, regulatory pressures, and geopolitical tensions which will impact the flow of goods and raw materials. New regulations like the European Union’s Digital Product Passport will make it mandatory for companies to track and disclose the environmental footprint of their products, pushing them to adopt more sustainable practices. 

 

Beyond 2025 - technologies shaping the next 5 years:

 

  1. Engineering biology: BioSolutions to today’s most pressing challenges

While the potential of engineering biology and its ability to transform manufacturing, develop drugs, and produce materials with novel properties has been widely discussed over the past years, this technology is yet to reach its scaling phase. According to the Capgemini Research Institute’s upcoming report, 41% of top executives believe that molecular assembly will reach maturity and become commercially viable by 2030. Meanwhile, 37% of them envision the same for Genomic Therapies. In the coming years, we can look forward to new innovations in this diverse field, such as personalized mRNA vaccines and GenAI for protein design.

 

  1. Quantum computing: on the verge of the quantum leap

According to the upcoming Capgemini Research Institute survey, 55% of top executives and 44% of VCs expect quantum computing to be one of the top 3 technologies within the ‘Computing & Networking’ space which will create a major impact in 2025. 41% of top executives expect to be experimenting with quantum computing Proofs of Concepts with limited use cases, and 27% of the top executives surveyed expect the technology to be partially scaled in some parts of the organization in 2025. The key question is – when will the quantum leap happen, and who will master it?

 

  1. Artificial General Intelligence: I think, therefore AI am? 

AI reasoning capabilities have made spectacular progress over the past 5 years, and some predict an era of artificial general intelligence (AGI). As such, 60% of top executives and 60% of VCs surveyed by the Capgemini Research Institute believe this technology will reach maturity and become commercially viable by 2030. Would this technology basically be able to mimic human intelligence to the point of making it irrelevant? This topic leads to exaggerated predictions, and some now question whether the intelligence potential of the technology is really unlimited.

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Bin Ghannam: Grove plans to expand into additional cities across Saudi Arabia

Noha Gad

 

Saudi Arabia’s total agricultural imports recorded 18,762 thousand tons in 2024. Since the launch of Vision 2030, the Kingdom has pursued an ambitious strategy to reduce reliance on imported products by enhancing local production and providing high-quality alternatives, particularly in the fresh produce market.

At the forefront of this shift is Grove, a Riyadh-based agricultural technology startup. Positioning itself as a consumer brand, Grove leverages technology to create a demand-driven supply chain that connects farms directly to markets and households while minimizing waste and maximizing quality.

In an exclusive interview with Co-founder Mohammed Bin Ghannam, Sharikat Mubasher delved into how Grove is revolutionizing the fresh produce sector in Saudi Arabia, the key challenges it addresses, and its plans for market expansion. Ghannam also shared his vision for the future of the market both within the Kingdom and globally, outlining the key trends set to define its trajectory.

 

Grove describes itself as a consumer brand connecting farms, markets, and households. Can you walk us through how Grove's technology and operations enable this coordination?

At its core, Grove is solving a flavor and variety problem created by how traditional supply chains are designed. Because the system is optimized for predictability, shelf-life, and intermediaries, not end-consumer taste, farmers are pushed toward limited varieties and harvest timing that prioritizes transport and handling over ripeness. The result is a product that is often picked too early, travels too long, and reaches households with muted flavor and inconsistent eating quality.

Grove's technology changes that by turning real consumer demand into farm-level decisions through what we call a grade-to-channel system. We start by analyzing multi-channel demand, what people buy through our app, what retailers need, and what B2B clients order, then translate that into precise production planning at the farm level. This means farmers know what to plant, when to harvest, and which quality standards to meet before the season even starts.

On the operations side, we have built an integrated system that handles everything from harvest planning and quality grading to cold-chain logistics and last-mile delivery. Our software generates accurate harvest schedules days in advance based on real-time demand, and our routing algorithms ensure each grade is directed to the best-fit outlet based on quality specs and customer requirements.

What makes this work is vertical coordination. We are not a marketplace that just connects buyers and sellers. We operate as one extended system where farms, logistics partners, and sales channels share data and processes. This allows coordinated decisions across the entire chain, from soil to doorstep, so supply is shaped by real consumer demand instead of intermediary convenience.

 

What are the main challenges facing the fresh-produce market in Saudi Arabia, and how does Grove address them?

The biggest challenge is structural, not operational. The traditional supply chain was designed to move volume through intermediaries, not to deliver quality to consumers. This creates four major problems.

First, there is a massive quality gap. Most produce is harvested too early to survive the long journey through wholesale markets and distribution centers. Tomatoes arrive firm but flavorless. Strawberries are red but lack sweetness. Consumers pay premium prices but receive mediocre products optimized for travel, not taste.

Second, variety is extremely limited. The assortment on supermarket shelves does not match how people actually cook or eat. Generic varieties dominate because they fit standard supply chain flows, reflecting what intermediaries are comfortable managing rather than what kitchens actually need. What is surprising is that almost all imported products have local alternatives that are often far superior, closer to consumers, fresher, and in many cases cheaper to produce. But farmers do not know this, and even if they did, wholesale market brokers will not risk pushing new products into the market.

Third, there is zero transparency. Information about origin, handling, and farming practices is minimal. Without transparency, consumers cannot verify that their produce is safe or grown responsibly. They are forced to trust a system that has no accountability.

Fourth, food waste is massive; up to 30% of fresh produce is wasted in the traditional chain. When consumers purchase produce days after harvest, a significant portion of its usable lifetime has already elapsed. The result is spoilage in refrigerators, a hidden cost that makes cheap produce expensive.

 

Grove addresses these challenges through our demand-driven operating model. We partner directly with farmers through our Agri-Marketing service, which handles sales planning, coordinated planting and harvest, certified quality standards, cold-chain logistics, and guaranteed market access. This allows farmers to prioritize quality over volume because they know their entire harvest will be absorbed across appropriate channels.

 

For consumers, this means fresher, riper produce with full traceability. Our direct pathway eliminates premature harvesting, ripens fully, and reaches customers faster. We also solve the variety problem by moving the "what should be farmed" decision downstream, giving end consumers agency and input. That demand signal flows back upstream to farmers, giving them confidence that expanding into local alternatives will have commercial success.

 

The results speak for themselves. Our repeat-purchase rate is nearly 48%, and our food waste remains under 5%. These metrics prove that prioritizing quality and aligning with farmers aren't just idealistic goals, they lead to superior commercial performance.

 

How does Grove's unique demand-driven approach position the company to meet the rising demand for premium, organic, and specialty produce?

The traditional supply chain cannot meet premium demand effectively because it is built for volume and commoditized pricing. Grove starts from actual consumer demand and works backward to production planning. When we see demand for organic strawberries or specialty herbs, we translate that signal directly to farmers with clear guidance and guaranteed market access.

Our multi-channel structure de-risks farmer adoption. Premium grades go to our DTC channel at quality-aligned prices, while lower grades move through wholesale at fair value. This blended economics gives farmers confidence to invest in quality and specialization.

 

How does Grove contribute to reducing food waste in line with Vision 2030's food security objective?

Grove contributes to reducing food waste at three levels. At production, our grade-to-channel system helps ensure full harvest absorption; every kilogram finds its optimal market. At distribution, we harvest to order based on real-time demand, keeping our operational waste under 5% versus industry averages of 20-30%. At consumption, our produce arrives with a more usable lifetime intact, and we've designed packaging for smaller households and modern lifestyles.

Beyond operations, we are working to strengthen local production by proving Saudi farms can produce high-quality alternatives to imports. Our partnerships span the Kingdom, from Tabuk to Al-Hasa, Al-Jouf to Al-Qassim, contributing to a more resilient domestic supply chain that reduces import dependence. As part of the broader ecosystem, when we reduce waste, we are helping increase supply while optimizing the use of Saudi Arabia's rich agricultural resources, contributing to the Kingdom's vision for sustainable food security.

 

Grove recently closed a $5 million seed round. How will this new capital accelerate the company's growth strategy?

This is Grove's first institutional funding since we began operations in mid-2024, led by Outliers VC. The capital will be deployed across three priorities: deepening farm integration and partnerships, scaling logistics and fulfillment infrastructure, including cold-chain and regional fulfillment centers, and investing in technology systems that coordinate production planning, harvest scheduling, and demand forecasting.

 

Does Grove's long-term expansion plan include entering into regional and international markets?

Our current focus is on expanding within Saudi Arabia. We serve Riyadh today and are progressing toward additional cities across the Kingdom.

 

Finally, how do you see the future of the fresh-produce sector in Saudi Arabia, and what are the key trends that will reshape it?

The fresh-produce sector in Saudi Arabia is at an inflection point. Several converging trends are reshaping the market, and companies that understand and adapt to these trends will define the future of the industry.

The first trend is changing consumer behavior. Families are smaller, live in smaller homes, and work longer hours relative to previous generations. This has pushed fruit and vegetable consumption slightly out of diets, not because people don't want fresh produce, but because they have less time to cook, less time to visit central markets for better selection, and they need smaller quantities that don't match traditional market buying sizes. The future belongs to companies that can make fresh produce more convenient, more accessible, and better suited to modern lifestyles.

 

The second trend is rising quality expectations. Consumers are becoming more health-conscious, more informed, and more willing to pay for quality, traceability, and sustainability. They want to know where their food comes from, how it was grown, and whether it's safe. The traditional opacity of supply chains won't be acceptable in the future. Transparency and trust will become competitive advantages, not just nice-to-haves.

 

The third trend is technology adoption. Agriculture has historically been resistant to change, but that's shifting. Farmers are increasingly open to data-driven decision-making, precision agriculture, and partnerships that reduce risk and improve outcomes. The companies that can provide farmers with actionable insights, guaranteed market access, and operational support will win farmer loyalty and secure a reliable supply.

 

The fourth trend is sustainability and food security, driven by Vision 2030. The government is investing heavily in local agriculture, water efficiency, and reducing food waste. Companies that align with these national priorities, by strengthening local production, reducing waste, and building resilient supply chains, will benefit from policy support and consumer preference.

 

The fifth trend is consolidation and vertical integration. The fragmented, intermediary-heavy supply chains of the past are inefficient and unsustainable. The future will see more vertically coordinated systems where technology enables direct connections between farms and consumers, cutting out unnecessary intermediaries and reallocating value to the people who actually create it, farmers and consumers.

 

At Grove, we are building for this future. We are not just a produce delivery company. We are building the infrastructure for a demand-driven, tech-orchestrated agricultural system that aligns the incentives of farmers, consumers, and the market. We believe that is the future of fresh produce, not just in Saudi Arabia, but globally.

The companies that will succeed in this future are those that solve real structural problems, not just offer incremental improvements. That is what Grove is doing. 

Powering the Future: How Saudi Arabia’s PIF Is Driving Green Energy Growth and Tech Innovation

Kholoud Hussein 

 

In the sands of the Arabian Peninsula, a quiet but consequential transformation is underway. For decades, Saudi Arabia’s economic identity was anchored almost entirely to oil. Today, that identity is being deliberately reshaped. At the center of this shift is the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the Kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund, which has become a primary engine for renewable energy expansion and technology-driven innovation.

What distinguishes Saudi Arabia’s transition is not only its scale, but its speed and coordination. Renewable energy, once peripheral to national planning, is now a strategic pillar under Vision 2030, the Kingdom’s long-term economic diversification program. PIF’s role has evolved accordingly, from a financial steward of national wealth to an active architect of future industries.

 

A Strategic Push Toward Renewables

Saudi Arabia has set an ambitious target: 50 percent of its electricity generation to come from renewable sources by 2030. This goal reflects both environmental necessity and economic pragmatism. The Kingdom’s vast solar and wind potential offers a natural advantage, while rising global demand for clean energy positions renewables as a growth sector rather than a concession.

Progress is already visible. Through the National Renewable Energy Program (NREP), Saudi Arabia has awarded contracts for more than 4.5 gigawatts of solar and wind capacity, representing investments totaling more than 9 billion Saudi riyals. Utility-scale solar parks and wind farms are being developed across multiple regions, laying the foundation for a diversified energy mix.

PIF has been instrumental in this rollout. Through its stake in ACWA Power and partnerships with international developers, the fund is helping deliver large-scale renewable projects while also driving local value creation. Recent joint ventures backed by PIF aim to localize the manufacturing of solar panels, wind turbine components, and related equipment, reducing dependence on imports and strengthening domestic supply chains.

Beyond power generation, Saudi Arabia is placing a major bet on green hydrogen. The PIF-backed NEOM Green Hydrogen Company is developing what is expected to be the world’s largest green hydrogen facility, powered entirely by renewable energy. The project positions the Kingdom as a future exporter of clean fuels, extending its energy leadership beyond oil and gas.

 

Financing the Energy Transition

Delivering projects of this scale requires not only ambition, but financial innovation. PIF has established a Green Finance Framework aligned with international sustainability standards, enabling it to raise capital specifically for environmentally responsible investments.

Since entering the green bond market, PIF has issued debt instruments whose proceeds are earmarked for renewable energy, clean transportation, and sustainable infrastructure. These issuances serve a dual purpose. They attract global investors seeking climate-aligned assets while embedding environmental criteria into the Kingdom’s broader financial strategy.

This approach reflects a shift in Saudi Arabia's view of capital markets. Sustainability is no longer treated as a reputational exercise, but as a mechanism for long-term value creation and economic resilience.

 

Technology as a Force Multiplier

Renewable energy capacity alone does not guarantee efficiency or reliability. Technology is what turns infrastructure into a functioning system, capable of balancing supply and demand, managing intermittency, and delivering power at scale.

Here, Saudi Arabia’s broader push into digital transformation intersects directly with its energy ambitions. PIF has emphasized the integration of artificial intelligence, automation, and data analytics across its portfolio companies. In its latest reporting, the fund highlighted dozens of digital initiatives launched to improve operational performance and decision-making.

These efforts create demand for specialized technologies, from grid optimization software to predictive maintenance systems. As renewable capacity expands, the complexity of managing power flows increases, opening the door for innovation well beyond traditional energy engineering.

 

The Startup Layer

While PIF-backed megaprojects dominate public attention, much of the system-level innovation is emerging from startups. These companies are not competing with large utilities or developers. Instead, they operate at the operational edge of the energy transition, supplying tools and services that enable efficiency, transparency, and scalability.

Energy efficiency and sustainability software is one such area. Startups like NOMADD are developing digital platforms that help organizations monitor energy use, identify inefficiencies, and improve performance. As Saudi companies face increasing pressure to meet ESG standards and disclose emissions data, demand for such solutions is growing rapidly.

Water and energy management represent another critical intersection. In a country where water scarcity is a structural challenge, startups such as H2O Innovation Arabia are delivering smart water treatment and management solutions that reduce energy consumption across industrial and municipal systems. This capability becomes even more important as hydrogen production and large-scale cooling systems expand.

Distributed solar is also gaining momentum. Companies like Green Watt focus on designing, installing, and monitoring solar systems for commercial and industrial clients. These solutions complement utility-scale projects by allowing businesses to reduce energy costs, lower emissions, and improve resilience without waiting for grid-level changes.

Climate-tech startups are emerging to address compliance and measurement. CarbonSifr, for example, provides carbon accounting and emissions management tools that help organizations quantify and reduce their environmental footprint. As Saudi Arabia advances toward net-zero goals, such platforms are becoming essential for energy-intensive sectors navigating regulatory and investor scrutiny.

On the technical front, startups such as Amiralab Energy Solutions are applying AI-driven analytics to power generation and grid performance. Predictive maintenance and asset optimization tools help operators manage the variability of renewable energy while reducing downtime and operating costs.

Together, these startups form a connective layer between national strategy and on-the-ground execution. They bring speed, specialization, and experimentation into an ecosystem otherwise dominated by large-scale infrastructure.

 

Policy Intent and Official Signals

Saudi officials have been explicit about the strategic intent behind this approach. The goal is not only to deploy renewable energy, but to build an integrated ecosystem that supports technology transfer, localization, and private-sector growth.

“These agreements are part of PIF’s efforts to adopt the latest technologies in renewable energy and increase local content in energy projects,” said Yazeed Al-Hamid, Vice Governor and Head of MENA Investments at PIF, in a recent statement. “They contribute to making the Kingdom a global center for renewable energy technology.”

Such messaging sends a clear signal to startups and investors alike. Participation in Saudi Arabia’s energy transition is not limited to large international players. There is room — and intent — to cultivate local innovation.

 

Market Potential and Growth Outlook

The commercial opportunity is substantial. Independent market research projects Saudi Arabia’s renewable energy market — including generation, storage, and supporting technologies — to grow from under $1 billion today to more than $12 billion by the early 2030s, representing one of the fastest growth rates globally.

Battery storage is a particularly dynamic segment. Saudi Arabia installed nearly 3 gigawatts of grid-scale battery capacity in a single year, reflecting the growing need to balance solar and wind output. This expansion creates opportunities for startups focused on storage optimization, energy management software, and modular systems for industrial users.

Beyond energy, the transition is expected to generate hundreds of thousands of jobs across construction, manufacturing, technology, and services. For a country with a young population, this alignment between sustainability and employment is politically and economically significant.

 

Challenges on the Road Ahead

Despite the momentum, challenges remain. Renewable penetration, while growing, still lags behind global leaders. Startups entering the sector must navigate regulatory complexity, long procurement cycles, and competition from established multinationals.

There is also the broader question of execution. Delivering projects on time, integrating new technologies, and maintaining cost discipline will determine whether ambition translates into lasting impact.

Yet the direction of travel is clear. By anchoring its energy transition in both capital and innovation, Saudi Arabia is attempting something few countries have done at this scale: reengineering an energy economy while building entirely new industries alongside it.

 

A New Energy Narrative

Saudi Arabia’s renewable energy push is not about replacing oil overnight. It is about expanding the country’s economic base and future-proofing its role in a changing global energy system.

Through PIF, the Kingdom is deploying capital, shaping markets, and creating space for startups to grow. The result is an ecosystem where megaprojects and small innovators coexist, each reinforcing the other.

In that sense, Saudi Arabia’s energy transition is not just a shift in power generation. It is a redefinition of how a resource-rich nation prepares for a low-carbon future — and who gets to help build it.

 

‘Defensibility’ Explained: How Startups Protect Their Long-Term Value

Ghada Ismail

 

Every startup commences its journey with an idea. Some ideas are clever. Some are perfectly timed. A few even feel like they could change an industry. But here’s the reality most founders discover pretty quickly: having a good idea isn’t the hard part anymore.

The hard part is keeping that idea yours.

In today’s crowded startup world, once you build something valuable, others will notice. Competitors copy. Bigger players move faster. Well-funded companies enter your space. That’s when one uncomfortable question shows up:

What stops someone else from doing this better?

That question is all about ‘Defensibility’.

 

What Defensibility Actually Means

Defensibility is your startup’s ability to hold its ground over time. It’s not about being first to market. And it’s definitely not about having the flashiest product.

It’s about being hard to replace.

A defensible startup gets stronger as it grows. More customers make the product better. More usage creates smarter systems. Deeper integrations make it painful to switch away. Over time, competitors don’t just have to match your product; they have to overcome everything you’ve already built.

 

The Defensibility Traps Founders Fall Into

Many founders believe their startup is defensible because they have:

  • A great product
  • Strong execution
  • Early traction
  • A compelling brand story

All of these help. None of them are enough on their own.

Great products get copied. Execution advantages don’t last forever. Early traction attracts competition. Brand takes years—and serious money—to truly protect you. These things help you get started, but they don’t guarantee survival.

Real defensibility usually sits below the surface.

 

Where Real Defensibility Comes From

One of the strongest forms of defensibility is network effects. When your product becomes more valuable as more people use it, new competitors face a tough uphill climb. Marketplaces, payment platforms, and collaboration tools often benefit from this.

Another is data, but only the right kind. Startups that collect unique, hard-to-replicate data can improve their product in ways others can’t. This matters a lot in AI-driven businesses, but only if the data truly improves outcomes and isn’t easily available elsewhere.

Switching costs also matter. If your product becomes deeply embedded in how customers work—through workflows, integrations, or processes—leaving becomes expensive and risky. This is common in B2B software, fintech platforms, and enterprise tools.

In regulated industries, compliance and licensing can become a strong shield. Fintech, healthtech, and infrastructure startups often spend years navigating approvals. That effort alone can discourage competitors from entering the space.

Finally, scale can protect you. If growing larger significantly lowers your costs or improves your margins, latecomers struggle to compete without burning cash.

 

Defensibility Is Built Over Time

A common myth is that startups must be defensible from day one. That’s rarely true.

Early on, speed matters more than protection. Learning fast, serving customers, and refining the product should come first. Defensibility grows as you accumulate trust, users, data, partnerships, and credibility.

 

Your Market Choice Matters More Than You Think

Some markets make defensibility easier. Others fight you every step of the way.

If you’re operating in a space with low switching costs, no network effects, and endless substitutes, you’ll need near-perfect execution just to survive. On the other hand, markets tied to infrastructure, regulation, or ecosystems give you more room to build long-term advantages.

While a good market won’t guarantee success, a bad one can make defensibility almost impossible.

 

Defensibility Is a Founder Mindset

Defensibility isn’t just about technology. It’s about how founders think.

Strong founders constantly ask:
What gets stronger as we grow?
What becomes harder for competitors over time?
Where does our leverage come from?
What would a well-funded rival struggle to copy?

These questions shape everything, starting from product decisions to pricing, partnerships, and hiring.

 

To Wrap Things Up…

Defensibility doesn’t mean being unbeatable. It means being harder to beat every year.

In a world where money moves fast and ideas spread even faster, the startups that last aren’t always the first or the loudest. They’re the ones quietly building advantages that stack over time.

So here’s the question every founder should sit with:

If your startup disappeared tomorrow, how easy would it be for someone else to replace it?

If that question makes you uneasy, that’s a good thing. It means you know where the real work needs to begin.

Hostile takeover: unwanted acquisition, corporate defense, and real-world consequences

Noha Gad

 

Companies in the world of business grow through careful planning and friendly agreements. Leaders talk about partnership, shared goals, and future success. Yet there exists a more aggressive path to growth, where such collaboration is not welcome, and the fight for control is direct and fierce. This path is defined by a direct and forceful attempt to seize control against the clear wishes of the existing leadership.

This action is known as a hostile takeover. It happens when a company tries to buy another company against the wishes of its leaders, unlike friendly takeovers, where both companies agree. The buyer ignores the management and appeals directly to the company's owners and shareholders. It is a high-stakes contest that can change companies, industries, and careers.

 

What is a hostile takeover?

A hostile takeover happens when an entity takes control of a company against the wishes of the company's management. The company being acquired in a hostile takeover is called the target company, while the one executing the takeover is called the acquirer. 

This strategy requires the entity to acquire and control more than 50% of the company’s voting shares, allowing the new majority shareholders to control the acquired business. Key parties of a hostile takeover are: the buyer, the company or group that wants control; the target company, the firm being bought, whose leaders resist with plans and lawsuits; the shareholders; the owners who hold shares; and the regulators, government bodies that check for fair play and market rules.

 

How does it work?

A hostile takeover follows set steps in which the buyer acts with care and speed. These steps are:

       * Selecting and reviewing the target. The buyer chooses a company, then checks the share price, debt, and profits. The worth of the target company must be more than its market value.

       * Buying shares. The buyer starts with small purchases, using brokers to stay hidden.

       * Making a public offer. In this step, the buyer goes public, files with the regulations, and offers cash for shares.

       * Raising funds. The buyer can raise money through multiple options, including its own cash reserves, issuing new shares, securing loans, or partnering with banks and investors.

       * Proxy fight (if needed). If the offer does not succeed, the buyer launches a proxy fight by seeking shareholder votes to elect new board members, which allows changes to company rules that favor the takeover.

       * Securing approvals. In this step, regulators review and approve the deal to ensure compliance with antitrust laws and market protections.

       * Taking control. By securing over 50% of shares, the buyer can assume control, appoint new leadership, and complete the acquisition.

 

Defense strategies against hostile takeovers

Companies can follow different strategies to prevent unwanted hostile takeovers. These strategies are:

       -Differential Voting Rights (DVRs). Through this strategy, the company can establish stock with differential voting rights (DVRs), where some shares carry greater voting power than others. This makes it more difficult to generate the votes needed for a hostile takeover if management owns a large portion of shares.

       -Employee Stock Ownership Program (ESOP). The ESOP involves using a tax-qualified plan in which employees own a substantial interest in the company. Employees can be more likely to vote with management.

       -Crown Jewel. In this defense strategy, a provision of the company’s bylaws requires the sale of the most valuable assets if there is a hostile takeover, thereby making it less attractive as a takeover opportunity.

       - Poison Pill (officially known as a shareholder rights plan). This tactic allows existing shareholders to buy newly-issued stock at a discount if one shareholder has bought more than a stipulated percentage of the stock, resulting in a dilution of the ownership interest of the acquiring company. There are two types of poison pill defenses: the flip-in and flip-over. A flip-in allows existing shareholders to buy new stock at a discount if someone accumulates a specified number of shares of the target company, while the flip-over strategy allows the target company's shareholders to purchase the acquiring company's stock at a deeply discounted price if the takeover goes through.

 

Hostile takeovers produce both positive effects and serious issues for companies, shareholders, and markets, often sparking debate about their overall value. They unlock higher value for shareholders by offering premiums on shares that reflect the company's true worth, while driving better operations through new leadership that cuts waste and boosts efficiency in areas like fintech innovation. On the other side, they carry risks such as job losses when the buyer reduces staff to lower costs and a focus on short-term gains that ignores long-term growth plans. Some view hostile takeovers as healthy competition that rewards strong owners, whereas others see them as predatory actions that harm workers and stable businesses.

Finally, the path of the hostile takeover presents a different and more confrontational alternative. This process, defined by the direct acquisition of a target company against the expressed wishes of its leadership, unfolds as a high-stakes contest for control, fundamentally reshaping organizations and markets. These takeovers can serve as a powerful instrument of market discipline; however, they carry significant negative consequences.

Ultimately, hostile takeovers embody the tension between the aggressive pursuit of opportunity and the principles of corporate autonomy and strategic continuity. While it can act as a catalyst for positive change and value creation, it also represents a potentially disruptive and predatory force.

Why So Many Startups Die Young and How to Survive the Death Valley Curve

Kholoud Hussein 

 

In the world of startups, few concepts are as feared or as misunderstood as the “Death Valley Curve.” The term sounds dramatic, but it describes a very real and common phase in a young company’s life. Many promising startups do not fail because their ideas are bad. They fail because they cannot survive this critical stretch between early promise and sustainable growth.

The Death Valley Curve refers to the period when a startup’s expenses consistently exceed its revenues, often for longer than expected. On a financial graph, cash flow dips deep into negative territory before it has a chance to recover. If the company runs out of cash before reaching profitability or securing new funding, the journey ends there.

This phase usually appears after initial product development and early market entry. Founders may have validated an idea, built a minimum viable product, and even signed their first customers. But revenues remain modest, while costs rise sharply. Salaries, marketing spend, infrastructure, compliance, and customer acquisition all add pressure. At the same time, investor enthusiasm may cool if growth is slower than projected.

The danger of the Death Valley Curve lies in its timing. Startups often enter it with confidence, assuming revenue growth will accelerate quickly. In reality, sales cycles are longer, customer acquisition costs are higher, and operational complexity increases faster than planned. The result is a widening gap between cash coming in and cash going out.

Avoiding the Death Valley Curve entirely is rare. Managing it successfully is the real goal.

One of the most effective ways startups can reduce risk is by maintaining disciplined cash management from day one. This means knowing exactly how long the company’s runway is and regularly updating that forecast. Founders should be able to answer a simple question at any time: how many months can we operate if no new revenue or funding arrives? Startups that track this closely can make early adjustments rather than react in crisis mode.

Another critical strategy is pacing growth deliberately. Many startups fail not because they grow too slowly, but because they grow too fast. Hiring aggressively, expanding into multiple markets, or building features before demand is proven can push costs higher without increasing revenue. Smart startups focus on the few activities that directly support customer acquisition and retention, and delay everything else.

Customer validation also plays a central role in surviving this phase. Startups that listen closely to users and adapt quickly are more likely to reach product-market fit before cash runs out. This often means saying no to custom requests that do not scale, refining pricing models early, and ensuring the product solves a real, recurring problem. Revenue quality matters as much as revenue volume.

Access to capital is another factor, but it should not be the only safety net. Relying on future funding rounds without demonstrating progress is risky, especially during tighter market conditions. Investors increasingly look for evidence of traction, efficient use of capital, and a clear path to sustainability. Startups that can show improving unit economics are in a much stronger position to raise funds in the Valley.

Finally, leadership mindset matters. Founders who acknowledge the Death Valley Curve as a normal phase are better prepared to handle it. This includes transparent communication with teams, realistic goal setting, and the willingness to make hard decisions early. Cutting costs or pivoting strategy is far easier when done proactively rather than under pressure.

The Death Valley Curve is not a sign of failure. It is a test. Startups that survive it do so by combining financial discipline, focused execution, and constant learning. Those that emerge on the other side are often stronger, more resilient, and better equipped for long-term success.